Hurricane center tracks new Atlantic system while Tropical Storm Jerry falls apart

Richard Tribou, Orlando Sentinel on Oct 11, 2025

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ORLANDO, Fla. — The National Hurricane Center on Saturday began tracking a new potential system in the Atlantic that could develop while Tropical Storm Jerry fell apart as it moved farther away from the Caribbean.

As of the NHC’s 2 p.m. tropical outlook, a tropical wave located several hundred miles south-southwest of the Cape Verde Islands was producing a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.

“Environmental conditions appear conducive for some development of this system, and a tropical depression could form next week while moving west-northwestward to northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the central tropical Atlantic,” forecasters said.

The NHC gave it a 20% chance to develop in the next two days and 40% in the next seven.

If it were to grow into a named system, it could become Tropical Storm Lorenzo.

The NHC gave its last advisory on Tropical Storm Jerry as it dissipated into remnants in the open Atlantic after dumping rain on the Caribbean’s northern Leeward Islands the last few days.

As of the NHC’s 5 p.m. advisory, the remnants had maximum sustained winds of 45 mph with higher gusts located about 330 miles south-southeast of Bermuda headed north at 16 mph. The remnants are expected to turn toward the northeast over the next couple of days.

The remnants are expected to continue producing gale-force winds until it merges with a frontal boundary in a day or two. Gale-force winds extend outward up to 240 miles to the east of the remnants’ center.

Swells from the remnants, though, were affecting the Leeward Islands, Windward Islands, Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic, the Turks and Caicos Islands, and the Bahamas on Saturday. The swells will likely cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.

So far the season has had 11 named storms with Subtropical Storm Karen falling apart on Friday as well. Of those, four have become hurricanes, and of those, three turned into major hurricanes.

Hurricane season runs from June 1 to Nov. 30.